O candidato republicano à presidência dos EUA, Mitt Romney votou na manhã deste que é o último dia das eleições.
Barack Obama, presidente em exercício e candidato democrata, já havia votado no dia 25/out, sendo o primeiro presidente a votar antes da data final.
Segundo o Huffington Post e o The New York Times, Obama tem mais de 90% de chances de ser reeleito, mesmo correndo o risco de ficar com um número menor de votos. É necessário conquistar 270 votos nos colégios eleitorais para ser eleito presidente dos EUA e, segundo o NYT, Obama ficaria com algo próximo a 314.
Among 12 national polls published on Monday, Mr. Obama led by an average of 1.6 percentage points. Perhaps more important is the trend in the surveys. On average, Mr. Obama gained 1.5 percentage points from the prior edition of the same polls, improving his standing in nine of the surveys while losing ground in just one.
Averaging polls together increases their sample size — making them much more powerful statistically than any one poll taken alone. But the errors in the polls are sometimes correlated, meaning there are years when most of them miss in the same direction. Mr. Romney remains close enough to Mr. Obama that he could fairly easily win the popular vote if there is such an error in Mr. Obama’s favor this year.
Mr. Romney’s chances are less, however, of winning the Electoral College. The large majority of polls in battleground states over the past three days have shown leads for Mr. Obama. On Monday, for example, 19 battleground state polls found leads for Mr. Obama, as compared with just three for Mr. Romney.
O Economistinha 